My favorite cartoon after the 2022 midterm elections was Barry Blitt’s New Yorker cover of November 21st.  It depicts a dejected elephant standing on a surf board aground on a beach.  The predicted “red wave” of a Republican victory never happened.  Instead, the Democrats lost a few seats in the House and retained control of the Senate – a feat not duplicated since FDR was president in 1934.

     After such a defeat, you might expect a party to rethink its strategy.  The Republicans did so in 2013, following Mitt Romney’s loss to President Obama, writing an “Autopsy Report.”  However, it was largely ignored and President Trump’s 2016 signaled its death – Trump despised the report.

     What about this time?  Since most candidates who backed Trump’s “big lie” that he really won the 2022 presidential election lost, one might expect them to have lost ground.  On the contrary.  Ultra right-wing Republicans now sit on vital House committees, following Kevin McCarthy’s pyrrhic victory to become Speaker of the House.  After 15 separate votes, McCarthy finally succeeded, but the price was very steep.  He had to agree that a single member could ask for a vote to unseat him.  He had to put hardline right wingers on important committees, like Intelligence and Judiciary.  And he has had to support George Santos, a proven congenital liar, who faked his degrees, jobs, and expertise on his resume, including the “fact” that he was “Jew-ish” (he wasn’t).  At the same time Santos omitted important facts, like his performances as a drag queen in Brazil.  But McCarthy needs to back him, because his margin in the House is so low.

     Meanwhile, what have the House Republicans done?  They have asserted that they want to get rid of Social Security, Medicare, and the income tax, replacing it with a 30% sales tax.  This would fall largely on the middle and lower classes.  None of these policies is at all popular, except perhaps with the right-wing ultra-rich.  Finally, they are now threatening to withhold raising the deficit.  This involves not paying for monies already spent by the government.  To do so would greatly affect the faith and credit of the United States of America and end payments like social security, Medicare, and the salaries of U.S. representatives. 

     Does all this constitute a winning strategy?  I don’t think so and for the first and probably only time in my life, I find myself agreeing with Donald Trump, who urged his party not to cut social security, Medicare, or use the debt ceiling as a bargaining chip against the Democrats.  President Biden has already declared he will not bargain over the deficit.

     If the Republicans keep this up, and there’s no indication that they won’t, I predict it will be a major losing strategy for what once was the “Grand Old Party.”  May it be so.

     A short while before the Russian attack, a friend declared that Ukraine should not fight because it would surely be defeated.  I replied, “I couldn’t disagree more.”  As a historian, I know how important motivation is in wartime.  The Ukrainians were fighting for their homes; the Russians were fighting because they were ordered to.  And whether or not the Ukrainians win, surely their struggle has been impressive.  Using what is available, they have slowed the Russian advance to the point where the Red Army is running out of food.  The Ukrainians have, for instance, used glass beer bottles from the Russian brand to make Molotov cocktails, re-inscribing the labels to read “Fuck you, Russians.”  They’ve removed all road signs and written the same on them.

     As a result of their endeavors, most of the world supports them.  Russia has become a pariah nation, shut off from banking, air travel, supplies, sports, and musical groups.  There’s a saying that goes back to Ancient Greece: “It is better to die on your feet than live on your knees.”  No one person has proved this more than Volodymyr Zelensky, the President of Ukraine.  Before the current events, I remembered the Ukrainian support of the Nazis in World War II.  But now they have a Jewish president and what a president!  Asked if he wanted a trip out of his embattled nation, he said, “I want ammunition, not a ride.”  There another old saying – that “God hates a coward.”  Both Zelensky and the Ukrainians have been heroic rather than cowardly.

     That is more than could be said for a number of Republicans, most notably Donald Trump, who asserted that Putin was “a genius” when he invaded Ukraine.  For a while, some Republican commentators, like Tucker Carlson, supported him.  So have Senator John Hawley of Missouri, and Representatives Marjorie Taylor Greene, Paul Gosar, Matt Rosendale, and Thomas Massie, all of whom voted in Congress against support for Ukraine.  Now the Republican Party is back-peddling as fast as it can – except for Trump.  It may loosen his grip on the GOP.

     But regardless of U.S. politics, I believe that a Russian invasion of Ukraine cannot ultimately succeed.  Suppose they occupy that nation.  Will opposition and protest completely stop?  I don’t believe it will.  The cost of keeping innumerable Russian soldiers there, often against their will, plus the damage done by the other measures NATO and the United States have taken, have caused the ruble to plummet and the Russian stock market to close. 

     From its beginning to whatever its conclusion, this is a war fought with internet participation.  The Russians cannot be secretive any longer.  When it was revealed that the oligarchs who support Putin still had their yachts, those yachts were taken away.  Russia has alienated most of the world and the Ukrainians have won its support.                    

I sent the following letter to every Republican senator and to those Democrats in red states.

Dear Senator

     I entreat you not to race through the confirmation of Judge Brett Kavanaugh for the Supreme Court.  Judge Kavanaugh has an extensive record of opinions on vitally important issues, very few of which are being made available to the Senate.  The National Archives, a highly respected bi-partisan government agency, has denounced this process as both unprecedented and unrepresentative of its mission.

     Rushing through his confirmation so that it precedes the November elections also violates what seemed to be a Republican principle.  "Let the people decide," was your party's proclamation in the again unprecedented move to prevent a vote on Pres. Obama's supreme court nominee for almost a year.  To deny that saying now, when it might work against you, is both unseemly and unpatriotic.

     I say this as an American who cherishes many of our nation's traditional values.  I know I am not a constituent of yours, but on this issue, you are acting as a national and not a state representative.  In addition, I believe in a two-party system.  I fear that if the Republican Party again betrays fundamental traditions and principles of the United States, it will undermine its own values and eventually cease to exist.

                                                   Sincerely,

                                                   Bonnie S. Anderson                                                                                                                             Professor Emerita of History                                                                                                               City University of New York